At least one in five UK universities is?set for a?change in?leadership in?2024, with the financial crisis in?the sector precipitating the departure of?many longstanding vice-chancellors, leaving questions about who will replace them and whether the skills needed for the job have changed.

Alistair Fitt became the latest vice-chancellor to?announce his retirement, saying last month that he?would step down at Oxford Brookes University after?nine years in?post, having recently overseen measures to?close the institution¡¯s music and mathematics programmes.

The universities of Kent and Brighton are also looking for new leaders, having undergone similarly painful restructuring programmes, with Karen Cox and Debra Humphris departing after serving for seven and nine years, respectively.

Analysis by Times Higher Education shows that 30 institutions this year have either had a new leader start or have begun the process of?finding a replacement, with the second tier of university management also experiencing considerable churn.

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¡°The last few years have undoubtedly been really tough and draining on senior teams,¡± said John Rushforth, executive secretary of the Committee of University Chairs.

¡°It has been particularly draining in the last couple of years due to having no real sense of direction from government about where the sector is going or what the light at the end of the tunnel is,¡± he added, saying this had been ¡°profoundly demoralising¡± for some.

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¡°Some vice-chancellors are on their fourth round of redundancies. Once you start seeing that you are going to have to cut things you really hold dear in an institution, that is really hard, and it has certainly got tougher over the last couple of years.¡±

Such a context was feared to be deterring some potential candidates who might be weighing up taking on a leadership role.

¡°Who in their right mind ¨C what really great leader ¨C is going to think about diving into a job at the top of a British university right now?¡± asked Amanda Goodall, professor of leadership at Bayes Business School, City, University of London.

She said that on top of higher education¡¯s financial crisis, increased bureaucracy and regulation in the sector had made leadership positions ever more challenging.

¡°It makes me think about what the quality of leaders coming forward will be like,¡± added Professor Goodall. ¡°Maybe very good people will take this as a?challenge and want to step forward, but my worry is that a lot of researchers will feel this is too much to take?on.¡±

Those close to university hiring committees have stressed that there are still several good candidates coming forward.

Two recent appointments have seen Shearer West agree to take on the University of Leeds¡¯ vice-chancellorship, leaving the same role at the University of Nottingham, while former University of Sydney deputy vice-chancellor Duncan Ivison has been lined up to replace Dame Nancy Rothwell at the University of Manchester.

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Even if there are enough individuals interested in stepping up, those in the market for senior leaders say the skills and experience that institutions are demanding has shifted given the challenges ¨C with financial nous becoming ever more vital.

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¡°Governing bodies are aware they have to look for something slightly different, and that is people who can manage not just change, but transformation,¡± said Mr?Rushforth.

¡°That really is going to be quite tough for the future. That transformation will probably be focused on some of the fundamental dynamics of how universities work in a way probably that we haven¡¯t seen previously.

¡°You¡¯ve got to be able to manage resources, of course. But you¡¯ve got to be even better at communications internally and taking people with you and explaining your case. Leaders across the board have also got to be prepared to have a bit more appetite for risk.¡±

Jill Cloke, managing partner and joint head for higher education at recruitment firm Perrett Laver, said that while universities continued to look abroad for candidates, circumstances were favouring those with sound knowledge of the UK system.

Despite the current challenges being ¡°probably the biggest the sector has faced in living memory¡±, she said, it was far from the first crisis that universities have had to deal with and there were plenty of people with the ¡°battle scars¡± and experience to take on the top roles.

Others were less sure. Mike Shattock, visiting professor at the UCL Institute of Education, said it was not a good time for universities to be seeking a?vice-chancellor. While ¡°ambition springs eternal¡± and many would-be vice-chancellors will?not be discouraged, there were ¡°almost certainly not¡± enough candidates with the relevant financial experience available.

In the current conditions, Professor Shattock said, internal candidates might enjoy a distinct advantage, given that they ¡°know where the bodies are buried¡±.

Professor Goodall agreed, saying it might be a moment to question universities¡¯ ¡°obsession¡± with hiring outsiders because they are seen as more effective in implementing change.

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tom.williams@timeshighereducation.com

Changing times: full list of universities getting new leaders

• Aberystwyth University: vice-chancellor Jon Timmis started in January
• University of the Arts London: vice-chancellor James Purnell is leaving for a new role in September
• University of Bath: vice-chancellor Ian White is retiring this month, to be replaced by Phil Taylor
• Birkbeck, University of London: vice-chancellor Sally Wheeler started in January
• Bishop Grosseteste University: interim vice-chancellor Karen Stanton is leaving for?the University of the Arts London
• Bournemouth University: vice-chancellor John Vinney is retiring in August and will be replaced by?Alison Honour
• University of Brighton: vice-chancellor Debra Humphris is retiring in September
• Buckinghamshire New University: vice-chancellor Nick Braisby is stepping down in 2025
• Cardiff Metropolitan University: new vice-chancellor Rachael Langford started in February
• University of Chichester: vice-chancellor Jane Longmore is retiring in September
• University for the Creative Arts: new vice-chancellor Jane Roscoe started in February
• University of Essex: vice-chancellor Anthony Forster is retiring this month
• University of Glasgow: principal Sir Anton Muscatelli is retiring in 2025
• University of the Highlands and Islands: Vicki Nairn, who had been serving as interim vice-chancellor, was made permanent in March
• University of Kent: vice-chancellor Karen Cox?left the post in May
• University of Leeds: interim vice-chancellor Hai-Sui Yu is being replaced by Shearer West in November
• London Business School: Fran?ois Ortalo-Magn¨¦ is stepping down as dean, to be replaced by Sergei Guriev
• London Metropolitan University: vice-chancellor Lynn Dobbs is retiring, to be replaced by?Julie Hall
• London School of Economics and Political Science: vice-chancellor Larry Kramer started in April
• University of Manchester: vice-chancellor Dame Nancy Rothwell is retiring, to be replaced by Duncan Ivison
• Middlesex University: vice-chancellor Sh?n Wareing started in April
• University of Nottingham: vice-chancellor Shearer West is?leaving to join the University of Leeds
• Oxford Brookes University: vice-chancellor Alistair Fitt is retiring, date unconfirmed
• University of Plymouth: vice-chancellor Judith Petts is retiring in September
• Royal College of Art: Christoph Lindner started as vice-chancellor in April
• Royal College of Music: director Colin Lawson is retiring in August, to be replaced by?James Williams
• Sheffield Hallam University: new vice-chancellor Liz Mossop started in January
• St George¡¯s, University of London: vice-chancellor Jenny Higham is leaving?as the institution merges with City, University of London
• University of Suffolk: vice-chancellor Helen Langton is retiring, to be replaced by Jenny Higham
• Wrexham Glyndwr University: Maria Hinfelaar is retiring in September, and will be replaced by Joe Yates