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Russell Group ‘nervous’ over downgrading of outputs for REF 2028

Elite universities harbour doubts about shift away from rewarding proven research excellence, says Manchester vice-president, though sector broadly welcomes changes for next assessment exercise

六月 21, 2023
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Moving away from “tried-and-tested” methods of evaluating research excellence via outputs-based peer review towards more experimental ways of?judging academic culture is?causing “nervousness” and “uncertainty” at?leading UK?universities, a?Russell Group leader has admitted.

Under?proposed rules for the 2028 Research Excellence Framework,?just 50?per cent of an institution’s score will be judged on its research outputs, down from 60?per cent in 2021 and 65?per cent in 2014. Of this 50?per cent, at least 10?per cent will be decided on an institution’s self-described disciplinary contribution, potentially pushing the direct weighting of outputs close to 40?per cent. Under the?revamp announced on 15?June,?“people, culture and environment” will be worth 25?per cent of an evaluation, the same as “engagement and impact”.

Downgrading research outputs, however, had been raised as a concern by senior university leaders, said Colette Fagan, chair of the Russell Group’s research pro vice-chancellors’ group. “In our early discussions, there were concerns about this reduction from 60?per cent towards 40?per cent,” said Professor Fagan, vice-president for research at the University of Manchester, who said there was “some nervousness and uncertainty” about revising the assessment formula used to decide the allocation of ?2?billion in annual research funding.

“We want to measure research excellence in the best possible way, and assessing outputs and impact case studies is a tried-and-tested method,” continued Professor Fagan, who said little was known about the proposed disciplinary statements, even though Russell Group members “broadly welcomed the direction of travel” for REF 2028. “A lot will rest on the consultation on the disciplinary statement and how it relates to wider institutional assessment,” she added.

That concern over the shift away from measuring research outputs was expressed more robustly by former ministerial adviser Iain Mansfield, now head of education and science at the Policy Exchange thinktank, who questioned whether having “people judging if the ‘culture’ is ‘right’ for producing great research, rather than actually looking at the outcomes”, was the correct approach. “No doubt they’ll pat the institutions with the right buzzwords on the back,” said Mr Mansfield.

Gemma Derrick, associate professor in research policy and culture at the University of Bristol, said the shift away from measuring outputs would make the REF “more forward-looking” rather than focusing largely on assessing past excellence.

“It is also increasing the kinds of outputs submitted, so they are not just articles or books,” said Dr Derrick. “It’s a good step, even if it comes with risks, but the REF is mature enough to take some risks.”

Removing the need for?every research-active staff member to submit at least one output?could, however, increase game-playing by institutions, warned Dr Derrick. “The inclusion of all staff in REF 2021 was widely celebrated – I’m not convinced why it’s being abandoned,” said Dr Derrick.

James Wilsdon, professor of research policy at UCL, welcomed the “positive package” of REF measures, but also warned that the downgrading of research outputs, allied with a shift to team-based submissions in which not everyone entered, could be unpopular with academics.

“Downgrading the significance of individuals could cause pushback because academics want to be connected to the REF – now some will have outputs entered, and others won’t,” he said.

On the research culture statement, which will take a more rigid questionnaire approach, Professor Wilsdon said there was “a lot of work to do” but agreed with the proposed new format. “This isn’t an exercise in storytelling – it will combine a strategic overview of research strategy with responsible indicators?that relate to aspects of research culture and environment,” he said.

Kieron Flanagan, professor of science and technology policy at Manchester, also felt the shift away from evaluating research outputs was wise, even if it was a significant departure from earlier REFs.

“It’s extremely reductive to see research as purely around outputs – the REF has peer-reviewed outputs because it is easy and less controversial, but it should be prepared to do something different,” said Professor Flanagan. “We don’t live in the 1980s – research is much more complex, dynamic and internationalised. The REF must reflect this.”

On the spiralling cost of the REF, which had an?estimated price tag of ?471 million?in 2021, Professor Flanagan said much of this expenditure arose because “leaders want to feel in control” and therefore created expensive internal selection processes.

“All universities need to do is hire good people, treat them well and let them get on with research, but today’s managerial university leaders don’t think like this,” he said.

jack.grove@timeshighereducation.com

REF 2028: key proposed changes

  • Need to submit all research-active staff set to be scrapped, with institutions submitting an average of 2.5 outputs per researcher instead
  • Outputs to make up 50 per cent of overall score, down from 60 per cent, with at least 10 per cent to be decided on statement outlining “wider contribution to knowledge and understanding”
  • Environment renamed “people, culture and environment”, with increased weighting of 25 per cent and switch to questionnaire-style statements
  • “Impact and engagement” remains at 25 per cent weighting. Explanatory statement to make up between 20 and 50 per cent of score.

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Reader's comments (5)

I'd love to see an HE time travel film about a bunch of yesterday's top academic researchers and writers, e.g. Einstein, Hegel, Newton, Kant, come back to work at a 2020s university and be told their outputs must be subject to periodic REFs.
"Downgrading the significance of individuals could cause pushback because academics want to be connected to the REF..." Personally, as an academic I do not care about the REF one iota! I am forced to "care" because REF outputs have been misused by the university bean counters and senior "leaders" (LOL) as performance and disciplining measures (e.g., permanence, promotion, redundancy). I know many colleagues that do not care much too. At best, we all play along and seek to tick the REF boxes asap (getting the dreaded internal REF reviews out of the way) and pay lip service to whatever the "great and good" want to hear to get them off our backs, so that we can get on with the work that really counts (our scholarship, research, and intellectual programmes). Of course, there are those academics who have been so deeply institutionalised to obsess about REF outputs and quantity of publications in general that they have built their "careers" around that (and not much else, I am afraid). The REF regime and university management have created a certain cohort of narcissistic careerists, skilled schemers, and pathological sociopaths who are “single minded” and focused on themselves and their own interests primarily. Those are the ones who will cry foul, of course. Either way, I am not surprised that the Russell group universities are not happy about the shift away from outputs and towards the culture of a department and institution. It is them who have created largely toxic and cut-throat competitive research environments pitting one academic against the other basically (the sad stories of suicides at such palaces are a testament to that). They are afraid losing their sticks to beat academics with and an easy way to play the system (e.g., by strategically hiring the REF stars using the outputs of gone or burnt-out people, even dead colleagues etc.), but I am sure they will find new devices pretty soon (they are quite ingenious in devising those after all).
Like the other comments I was never personally concerned about the REF. If my institution didn't like what I was doing, I could always leave. As I liked to say, Stanford and Yale and Chicago have all done pretty well without a REF/TEF/KEF. Also, when I was a research dean I constantly told people to just do quality work and leave it up to us (i.e., the research office) to decide how we carved the portfolio of work into a REFable product. We also had algorithms that evaluated outputs w/o the need for do manual reviews and determined the mix of papers submitted that generated optimized outcomes. However, this ran up against the university bureaucracy who insisted that we have two reviewers -- one internal and one external -- who evaluated every paper and insisted we evaluate individuals and discuss with them their scores. In the end, their approach was a total waste of time. There was virtually no difference btw the algorithm evaluation and the individual reading but the individual reading costs 10s of thousands of ??? and thousands of hours of people's time. However, the DVC had to have a REF 'strategy' and the A-DVC (REF) had to have processes they managed. Another aspect about this that is common to all rating systems is that the ratings from time t to t+1 are very highly correlated. So if you use the same metrics at time t as at time t+1 you pretty much get the same ordering with some random variation. But ratings that are the same all the time are easily done away with. So 'Big Ratings' -- aka the REF industrial complex -- have to 'tweak' the system to justify keeping the beast alive ... of course this is justified for 'strategic' reasons but an equivalent alternative hypothesis is pure Weber: “It is horrible to think that the world could one day be filled with nothing but those little cogs, little men clinging to little jobs and striving towards bigger ones - a state of affairs which is to be seen once more, as in the Egyptian records, playing an ever-increasing part in the spirit of our present administrative system, and especially of its offspring, the students. This passion for bureaucracy ... is enough to drive one to despair. It is as if in politics ... we were deliberately to become men who need "order" and nothing but order, become nervous and cowardly if for one moment this order wavers, and helpless if they are torn away from their total incorporation in it. That the world should know no men but these: it is such an evolution that we are already caught up, and the great question is, therefore, not how we can promote and hasten it, but what can we oppose to this machinery in order to keep a portion of mankind free from this parcelling-out of the soul, from this supreme mastery of the bureaucratic way of life.”
Where is the cost benefit analysis? We have sufficient experience by now to tell whether or not REFs and RAEs before these were worth the cost and led to an improvement in research excellence.
To me, the number of citations recorded for the work of person A by his peers and more widely, seems little more than voting for your mates. When it comes to impact and engagement, the devil is in the detail and in the time scale used. Using the current or even the proposed criteria for the 2028 ref, does Jesus get a higher score than Einstein on impact? There must be a better way of deciding who and what should get massive lumps of cash from the ?2 billion annual budget allocation. When it comes to measuring "outputs", are we right to look at the past when what we face is the future? Many of those who have a "good track record" will have done their best work when they were younger but are now getting older? Is enough money going to the bright young men and women of the future? Are those increasingly ageing the best people to have on the panels allocating funds for future projects?
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